La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 26.03%3.84momio equitativo
EV +6.72%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.146%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.93%27.96%25.60%41.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.343.413.504.1042.74%29.34%28.57%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 73.97%1.35momio equitativo
EV +21.31%
Ventaja +12.99%
Kelly +33.30%
Crecimiento +7.10%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.79%72.04%74.40%77.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.311.291.6481.97%76.15%77.52%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -39.09%E -16.71%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV +21.31%E +12.99%K +33.30%G +7.10% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:43 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -34.93%E -13.97%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -36.23%E -14.79%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 10:41 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +7.26%E +5.00%K +16.13%G +1.17% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +6.52%E +4.53%K +14.81%G +0.965% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -28.42%E -10.33%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +3.56%E +2.54%K +8.90%G +0.317% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.61%E -6.76%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -24.51%E -8.45%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -15.14%E -4.65%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.80%E -5.39%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.39%E -0.637%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fliff | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -9.02%E -7.33%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betway | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.40%EV -1.61%E -0.425%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.60%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |