La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Casper Ruud
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)
Previsione 26.03%3.84quota equa
EV +6.72%
Vantaggio +1.64%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescita +0.146%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.93%27.96%25.60%41.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.343.413.504.1042.74%29.34%28.57%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Casper Ruud (Trasferta)
Previsione 73.97%1.35quota equa
EV +21.31%
Vantaggio +12.99%
Kelly +33.30%
Crescita +7.10%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.79%72.04%74.40%77.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.311.291.6481.97%76.15%77.52%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -39.09%E -16.71%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV +21.31%E +12.99%K +33.30%G +7.10% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:43 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -34.93%E -13.97%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -36.23%E -14.79%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 10:41 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +7.26%E +5.00%K +16.13%G +1.17% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +6.52%E +4.53%K +14.81%G +0.965% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -28.42%E -10.33%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +3.56%E +2.54%K +8.90%G +0.317% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.61%E -6.76%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -24.51%E -8.45%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -15.14%E -4.65%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.80%E -5.39%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.39%E -0.637%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fliff | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -9.02%E -7.33%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betway | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.40%EV -1.61%E -0.425%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.60%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |