The School of Odds

Cristian Garin v Matteo Arnaldi

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 12:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Cristian Garin (Hemma)

Prognos 63.48%1.58rättvist odds
EV +6.02%
Fördel +3.60%
Kelly +8.98%
Tillväxt +0.541%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.85%63.08%63.35%66.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.401.521.501.6771.43%65.78%66.67%59.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Borta)

Prognos 36.52%2.74rättvist odds
EV +2.25%
Fördel +0.802%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.028%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.96%36.92%36.65%43.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.202.492.512.8045.45%40.16%39.76%35.71%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.02%E +3.60%K +8.98%G +0.541%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 09:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 09:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -14.55%E -6.22%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 10:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 10:30
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -16.74%E -7.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 11:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 06:45
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -15.65%E -6.77%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 12:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:49
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +1.57%E +0.984%K +2.62%G +0.041%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -14.92%E -6.40%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 11:05
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +0.305%E +0.193%K +0.525%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.330%E -0.210%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 12:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.965%E -0.619%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.50%E -2.31%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 12:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:40
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.419%E +0.153%K +0.240%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-06 12:40
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%5.2%2026-04-06 12:39
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%5.2%2026-04-06 12:40
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 12:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:40
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 12:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 12:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-04-06 12:40
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%7.2%2026-04-06 12:40