L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Cristian Garin v Matteo Arnaldi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cristian Garin (Local)
Prévision 63.48%1.58cote équitable
EV +6.02%
Avantage +3.60%
Kelly +8.98%
Croissance +0.541%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%63.08%63.35%66.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.501.6771.43%65.78%66.67%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.52%2.74cote équitable
EV +2.25%
Avantage +0.802%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.028%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%36.92%36.65%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.492.512.8045.45%40.16%39.76%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.02%E +3.60%K +8.98%G +0.541% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -14.55%E -6.22%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -16.74%E -7.34%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 06:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -15.65%E -6.77%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 12:25 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +1.57%E +0.984%K +2.62%G +0.041% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -14.92%E -6.40%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +0.305%E +0.193%K +0.525%G +0.002% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.330%E -0.210%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.965%E -0.619%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.50%E -2.31%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.419%E +0.153%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 12:39 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Fliff | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 12:40 |