Die Wettquotenschule

Cristian Garin v Matteo Arnaldi

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 12:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cristian Garin (Heim)

Prognose 63.48%1.58faire Quote
EV +6.02%
Vorteil +3.60%
Kelly +8.98%
Wachstum +0.541%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%63.08%63.35%66.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.401.521.501.6771.43%65.78%66.67%59.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.52%2.74faire Quote
EV +2.25%
Vorteil +0.802%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.028%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.96%36.92%36.65%43.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.492.512.8045.45%40.16%39.76%35.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.02%E +3.60%K +8.98%G +0.541%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 09:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +5.38%E +3.24%K +8.16%G +0.439%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -15.28%E -6.59%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 09:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -14.55%E -6.22%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 10:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 21:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +4.75%E +2.88%K +7.31%G +0.347%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 10:30
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -16.74%E -7.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 11:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +3.48%E +2.13%K +5.52%G +0.192%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 06:45
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -15.65%E -6.77%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 12:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +2.84%E +1.76%K +4.59%G +0.130%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -19.66%E -8.94%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.21%E +1.37%K +3.62%G +0.080%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:49
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +1.57%E +0.984%K +2.62%G +0.041%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -14.92%E -6.40%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 11:05
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +0.305%E +0.193%K +0.525%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -17.84%E -7.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.330%E -0.210%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.09%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 12:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.965%E -0.619%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.23%E -1.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.50%E -2.31%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 12:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:40
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.68%E -4.54%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.419%E +0.153%K +0.240%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-06 12:40
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%5.2%2026-04-06 12:39
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%5.2%2026-04-06 12:40
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 12:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:40
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.85%E -6.94%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.41%E -0.521%K -0.827%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 12:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 12:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-06 12:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-04-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-04-06 12:40
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%6.3%2026-04-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%7.2%2026-04-06 12:40