Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 71.44%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 28.56%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.69%E -8.56%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +2.80%E +0.778%K +1.08%G +0.030% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.20%E -0.346%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -3.48%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.34%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -7.76%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.41%E -1.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.12%E -1.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -17.19%E -5.93%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |