L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Zizou Bergs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 71.44%1.40cote équitable
EV +0.022%
Avantage +0.016%
Kelly +0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%71.55%71.43%74.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.331.331.4080.00%75.26%75.19%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zizou Bergs (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +0.778%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%28.45%28.57%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.253.6035.71%30.95%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.69%E -8.56%K -42.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +2.80%E +0.778%K +1.08%G +0.030%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.20%E -0.346%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 09:08
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -3.48%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 09:10
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:07
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 09:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:10
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 09:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.34%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 09:00
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:58
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 09:09
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -7.76%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 09:04
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:08
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:00
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 09:10
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.41%E -1.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.12%E -1.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:05
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:04
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 09:08
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -17.19%E -5.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%6.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%6.8%2026-04-08 09:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%8.1%2026-04-08 09:10