La escuela de los momios

Andrey Rublev v Zizou Bergs

Inicio: 2026-04-08 09:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 71.44%1.40momio equitativo
EV +0.022%
Ventaja +0.016%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%71.55%71.43%74.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.331.331.4080.00%75.26%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zizou Bergs (Visitante)

Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +0.778%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%28.45%28.57%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.233.253.6035.71%30.95%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.69%E -8.56%K -42.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +2.80%E +0.778%K +1.08%G +0.030%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.20%E -0.346%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 09:08
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -3.48%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 09:10
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:07
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 09:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:10
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 09:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.34%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 09:00
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:58
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 09:09
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -7.76%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 09:04
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:08
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:00
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 09:10
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.41%E -1.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.12%E -1.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:05
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.69%E -4.31%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.55%E -2.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:04
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 09:08
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -17.19%E -5.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.022%E +0.016%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.04%E -7.16%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%6.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%6.8%2026-04-08 09:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%8.1%2026-04-08 09:10