Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.865%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.67%55.99%56.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.8260.61%58.22%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)
Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.01%44.33%44.01%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.35%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 55.81%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 44.19%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.83%E -7.09%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -0.659%E -0.370%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.64%E -3.66%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -8.53%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |