A Escola das Odds

Zizou Bergs v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Início: 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 55.81%1.79odd justa
EV +1.57%
Vantagem +0.865%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%55.67%55.99%56.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.731.8260.61%58.22%57.80%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Previsão 44.19%2.26odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.01%44.33%44.01%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.35%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 14:59
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:58
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.83%E -7.09%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -0.659%E -0.370%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:04
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:04
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:04
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.64%E -3.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:58
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:59
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:58
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -8.53%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-03-21 15:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-03-21 15:05