La escuela de los momios

Zizou Bergs v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Predicción 55.81%1.79momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.865%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%55.67%55.99%56.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.8260.61%58.22%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Predicción 44.19%2.26momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.01%44.33%44.01%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.35%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 14:59
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.57%E +0.865%K +1.92%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.74%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:58
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.457%E +0.254%K +0.572%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.83%E -7.09%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -0.659%E -0.370%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:04
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:04
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:04
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.64%E -3.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:58
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -1.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:59
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:58
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -8.53%E -4.12%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.71%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-03-21 15:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-03-21 15:05