Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs v Jenson Brooksby

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 14:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.19%39.23%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.422.422.5042.92%41.29%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visit)

Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%60.81%60.77%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.34%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 39.27%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 60.73%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 16:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.40%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-18 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 20:25
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Betsson🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:50
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 15:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:24
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 13:08
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 21:00
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 15:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 17:45
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 17:20
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 17:55
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 17:20
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -8.51%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-18 20:15
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%1.5%2026-03-18 21:03
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-03-18 21:00