La escuela de los momios

Zizou Bergs v Jenson Brooksby

Inicio: 2026-03-20 14:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Predicción 39.27%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.19%39.23%40.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.422.422.5042.92%41.29%41.32%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jenson Brooksby (Visitante)

Predicción 60.73%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%60.81%60.77%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.34%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 16:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:35
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
SportsBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.40%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-18 17:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 20:25
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 17:45
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 21:00
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 20:10
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 15:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 17:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:24
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 13:08
DraftKings2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 16:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:29
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 21:00
ReBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:08
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 15:44
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 17:45
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 17:20
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 17:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 17:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -8.51%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 20:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-18 20:15
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%1.5%2026-03-18 21:03
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-03-18 21:00