Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs v Jenson Brooksby

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 14:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 39.27%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.733%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.19%39.23%40.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.422.422.5042.92%41.29%41.32%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.73%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.80%60.81%60.77%62.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.34%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zizou Bergs (Local) : 39.27% ; Jenson Brooksby (Visiteur) : 60.73%. Pour Zizou Bergs (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.55. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.50, pour une espérance de -1.83% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 16:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.733%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.40%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-18 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 20:25
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.97%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Betsson🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 15:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:50
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 15:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 16:24
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 13:08
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:30
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 21:00
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 15:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 17:45
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 17:20
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 17:55
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 17:20
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -8.51%E -3.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-18 20:55
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-18 20:15
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%1.5%2026-03-18 21:03
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-03-18 21:00