Language:English
Tommy Paul v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.711%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.05%45.08%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.38%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.95%54.92%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.8059.88%57.88%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 45.07%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 54.93%. For Tommy Paul (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.853%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-25 23:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 00:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 15:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 02:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 00:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 23:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 00:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 23:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.12%E -0.622%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |