A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-03-26 00:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 45.07%2.22odd justa
EV -0.853%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.711%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%45.05%45.08%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.38%47.17%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 54.93%1.82odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.622%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.95%54.92%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.741.8059.88%57.88%57.47%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 19:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 19:14
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 19:00
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 09:25
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-25 23:51
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 00:16
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 15:08
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 22:10
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 21:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 17:40
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 13:20
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:36
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:36
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:36
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:36
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:36
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:35
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 13:20
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:31
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 17:25
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 17:25
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 00:14
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 22:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 02:34
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 00:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:11
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 07:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 00:31
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 23:16
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 00:26
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:31
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:35
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 22:35
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 23:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 00:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 00:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 12:40
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 23:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 01:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 02:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.12%E -0.622%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 23:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-26 00:35
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-26 00:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-26 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-26 00:35
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-03-26 00:36
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-26 00:35
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-03-26 00:36