La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.853%
Ventaja -0.388%
Kelly -0.711%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.05%45.08%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.38%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 54.93%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.95%54.92%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.741.8059.88%57.88%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.853%E -0.388%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 09:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-25 23:51 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.66%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 00:16 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 15:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 22:10 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.01%E -1.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:36 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 13:20 |
| ReBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.46%E -2.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:31 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 02:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 00:31 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.51%E -3.21%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 23:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 00:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 23:31 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.26%E -3.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 22:35 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 00:30 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 12:40 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.06%E -3.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.12%E -0.622%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 23:25 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.87%E -4.93%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |
| Novig | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-26 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 00:36 |