Language:English
Sebastian Korda v Martin Landaluce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sebastian Korda (Local)
Prediction 77.46%1.29fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.61%77.44%77.38%80.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2986.21%81.72%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Visit)
Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV +8.18%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.176%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%22.56%22.62%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.574.104.004.8028.01%24.38%24.97%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sebastian Korda (Local): 77.46%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 22.54%. For Martin Landaluce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +8.18%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.176% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.14%E -8.74%K -63.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +3.67%E +0.799%K +1.02%G +0.038% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -0.382%E -0.086%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.96%E -0.450%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.09%E -0.718%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%EV -0.074%E -0.057%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 02:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 15:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -0.849%E -0.663%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -19.54%E -5.47%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.00% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |