Język:Polski
Sebastian Korda v Martin Landaluce
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sebastian Korda (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 77.46%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -0.074%
Przewaga -0.057%
Kelly -0.255%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.61%77.44%77.38%80.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.161.221.221.2986.21%81.72%81.97%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Martin Landaluce (Goście)
Prognoza 22.54%4.44kurs godziwy
EV +8.18%
Przewaga +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Wzrost +0.176%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.60%22.56%22.62%26.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.574.104.004.8028.01%24.38%24.97%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Sebastian Korda (Gospodarze): 77.46%; Martin Landaluce (Goście): 22.54%. Dla wyniku Martin Landaluce (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.44. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.18%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +8.18%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.176% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.14%E -8.74%K -63.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +3.67%E +0.799%K +1.02%G +0.038% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -0.382%E -0.086%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.96%E -0.450%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.09%E -0.718%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%EV -0.074%E -0.057%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 02:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 15:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -0.849%E -0.663%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -19.54%E -5.47%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.00% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |