Idioma:Español
Sebastian Korda v Martin Landaluce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sebastian Korda (Local)
Predicción 77.46%1.29momio equitativo
EV -0.074%
Ventaja -0.057%
Kelly -0.255%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.61%77.44%77.38%80.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.221.221.2986.21%81.72%81.97%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Martin Landaluce (Visitante)
Predicción 22.54%4.44momio equitativo
EV +8.18%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.176%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%22.56%22.62%26.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.574.104.004.8028.01%24.38%24.97%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sebastian Korda (Local): 77.46%; Martin Landaluce (Visitante): 22.54%. Para Martin Landaluce (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.44. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.18%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +8.18%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.176% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.14%E -8.74%K -63.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +3.67%E +0.799%K +1.02%G +0.038% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.37%E -8.01%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.42%E +0.316%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -0.382%E -0.086%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.96%E -0.450%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.41%E -0.557%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.09%E -0.718%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 15:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%EV -0.074%E -0.057%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%EV -8.04%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 02:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.82%E -6.57%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.05%E -5.87%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -3.95%E -3.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 15:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -11.65%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.17%E -2.54%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.72%E -3.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.27%E -5.18%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.40%E -1.90%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.50%E -4.51%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -0.849%E -0.663%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -19.54%E -5.47%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.00% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 15:15 |