Language:English
Rei Sakamoto v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rei Sakamoto (Local)
Prediction 10.46%9.56fair odd
EV +15.09%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.228%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.49%10.49%12.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.859.0011.0013.33%11.30%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 89.54%1.12fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -41.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.51%89.51%89.51%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.36%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rei Sakamoto (Local): 10.46%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 89.54%. For Rei Sakamoto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.56. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 10:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +6.72%E +0.659%K +0.731%G +0.049% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +2.54%E +0.259%K +0.288%G +0.007% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +2.01%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.005% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 09:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +0.444%E +0.046%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -0.916%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 18:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -3.22%E -0.348%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.03I 11.07%NM 10.51%EV -5.52%E -0.611%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.49%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 18:51 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -9.50%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 18:39 |
| Novig◎ | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |