La escuela de los momios

Rei Sakamoto v Daniil Medvedev

Inicio: 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rei Sakamoto (Local)

Predicción 10.46%9.56momio equitativo
EV +15.09%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.228%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.64%10.49%10.49%12.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.859.0011.0013.33%11.30%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Predicción 89.54%1.12momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -3.06%
Kelly -41.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.51%89.51%89.51%91.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.36%94.34%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 10:44
Unibet (FR)10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +6.72%E +0.659%K +0.731%G +0.049%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:54
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 08:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 10:54
DraftKings9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +2.54%E +0.259%K +0.288%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:54
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +2.01%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.005%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:09
LowVig.ag9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 09:50
BetOnline.ag9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 09:50
ReBet9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +0.444%E +0.046%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:30
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 08:40
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:54
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:54
1xBet9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -0.916%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:43
Betr (AU)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -3.22%E -0.348%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:30
GTbets9.03I 11.07%NM 10.51%EV -5.52%E -0.611%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.49%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:44
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:49
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:54
William Hill9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 08:50
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 08:40
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:54
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:54
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Caesars9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:51
Fliff8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -9.50%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:54
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:53
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:49
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 18:50
TAB8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:45
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:54
PlayUp8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:45
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:54
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:40
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:55
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-21 18:50
ProphetX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-03-21 18:54
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-21 18:54
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%3.9%2026-03-21 18:39
Novig8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48%7.5%2026-03-21 18:55