L’École des cotes

Rei Sakamoto v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rei Sakamoto (Local)

Prévision 10.46%9.56cote équitable
EV +15.09%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.228%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.64%10.49%10.49%12.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.859.0011.0013.33%11.30%11.11%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.54%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -3.06%
Kelly -41.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.51%89.51%89.51%91.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.36%94.34%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.09%E +1.37%K +1.51%G +0.228%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 10:44
Unibet (FR)10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +6.72%E +0.659%K +0.731%G +0.049%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:54
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 08:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +4.63%E +0.463%K +0.514%G +0.024%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 10:54
DraftKings9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +2.54%E +0.259%K +0.288%G +0.007%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:54
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +2.01%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.005%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:09
LowVig.ag9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 09:50
BetOnline.ag9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +1.91%E +0.196%K +0.218%G +0.004%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 09:50
ReBet9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +0.444%E +0.046%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:30
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 08:40
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:54
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -0.603%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.88%E -6.62%K -172.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:54
1xBet9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -0.916%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:43
Betr (AU)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -3.22%E -0.348%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:30
GTbets9.03I 11.07%NM 10.51%EV -5.52%E -0.611%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.49%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:44
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:49
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:54
William Hill9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 08:50
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 08:40
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:54
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:54
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Caesars9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.83%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:51
Fliff8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -9.50%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.78%E -7.55%K -259.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:54
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:53
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:54
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:49
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 18:50
TAB8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.07%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:45
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.06%K -41.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:54
PlayUp8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:45
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:54
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.30%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:40
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:50
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.20%E -3.92%K -59.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 18:55
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.09%E -4.80%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -21.53%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.99%E -5.70%K -119.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-03-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-21 18:50
ProphetX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-03-21 18:54
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-21 18:54
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%3.9%2026-03-21 18:39
Novig8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48%7.5%2026-03-21 18:55