Language:English
Raphael Collignon v Grigor Dimitrov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prediction 42.01%2.38fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.87%42.20%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.262.4546.51%44.04%44.25%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Visit)
Prediction 57.99%1.72fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.13%57.80%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.19%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raphael Collignon (Local): 42.01%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visit): 57.99%. For Raphael Collignon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.84%E -4.07%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.00%E -1.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 18:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |