StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Raphael Collignon v Grigor Dimitrov

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Raphael Collignon (Hemma)

Prognos 42.01%2.38rättvist odds
EV +2.93%
Fördel +1.19%
Kelly +2.02%
Tillväxt +0.059%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.66%41.87%42.20%44.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.272.262.4546.51%44.04%44.25%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grigor Dimitrov (Borta)

Prognos 57.99%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -1.18%
Kelly -2.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.99%58.13%57.80%60.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.19%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Raphael Collignon (Hemma): 42.01%; Grigor Dimitrov (Borta): 57.99%. För Raphael Collignon (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.38. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.93%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:14
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:09
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:13
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:15
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
NordicBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:15
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:24
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:14
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:25
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:19
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.84%E -4.07%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:09
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.00%E -1.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-19 19:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-03-19 19:25
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-03-19 19:25