A Escola das Odds

Raphael Collignon v Grigor Dimitrov

Início: 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Local)

Previsão 42.01%2.38odd justa
EV +2.93%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.66%41.87%42.20%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.272.262.4546.51%44.04%44.25%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)

Previsão 57.99%1.72odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%58.13%57.80%60.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.19%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.93%E +1.19%K +2.02%G +0.059%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:25
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:14
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:09
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:25
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:15
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.53%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:13
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:04
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:15
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
NordicBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:15
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:10
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:24
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:19
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:00
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.84%E -4.07%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:09
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.00%E -1.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:20
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-19 19:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-03-19 19:25
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-03-19 19:25