Language:English
Quentin Halys v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Quentin Halys (Local)
Prediction 45.44%2.20fair odd
EV -0.029%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.024%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.40%45.57%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.082.2050.00%47.94%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 54.56%1.83fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.60%54.43%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.49%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 45.44%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 54.56%. For Quentin Halys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.201. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.200, with an expected value of -0.029%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.85%E -0.855%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.85%E -0.855%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.80%E -4.61%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.34%E -4.97%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.98%E -6.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.94%E -2.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.39%E -3.10%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.30%E -3.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -7.75%E -3.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.34%E -1.31%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.21%E -4.06%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 22:28 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 1.5% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |