L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Kamil Majchrzak

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 22:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 45.44%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.029%
Avantage -0.013%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.40%45.57%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.082.2050.00%47.94%48.08%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.56%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.60%54.43%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.49%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:34
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:34
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.85%E -0.855%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:34
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.85%E -0.855%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:35
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.80%E -4.61%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.34%E -4.97%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:35
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:34
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:34
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:34
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 22:35
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 22:34
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 22:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.25%E -4.26%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 22:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.57%E -2.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.98%E -6.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:34
NordicBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:34
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.03%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.52%E -2.58%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:33
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:34
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:34
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.48%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.94%E -2.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:34
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 22:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.39%E -3.10%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 22:34
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.30%E -3.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 22:34
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -7.75%E -3.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.34%E -1.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:35
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.21%E -4.06%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:34
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.79%E -0.997%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 22:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.43%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 22:35
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.07%E -2.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 22:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 22:28
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 22:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 22:34
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.12%E -4.56%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-23 22:35
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-23 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-23 22:35
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%1.5%2026-03-23 22:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-23 22:35
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-03-23 22:35