Language:English
Moise Kouame v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moise Kouame (Local)
Prediction 15.99%6.25fair odd
EV +15.92%
Edge +2.20%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.405%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.17%16.15%15.73%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.695.507.2520.00%17.57%18.18%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 84.01%1.19fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -15.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%83.85%84.27%86.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.54%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moise Kouame (Local): 15.99%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 84.01%. For Moise Kouame (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.25. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +15.92%E +2.20%K +2.55%G +0.405% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +7.92%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.109% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +5.53%E +0.837%K +0.987%G +0.055% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.93%E +0.604%K +0.714%G +0.028% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +3.13%E +0.485%K +0.574%G +0.018% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.57%EV -1.19%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -4.71%E -0.790%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.07%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 21:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 16:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |