L’École des cotes

Moise Kouame v Jiri Lehecka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 01:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Moise Kouame (Local)

Prévision 15.99%6.25cote équitable
EV +15.92%
Avantage +2.20%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +0.405%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.17%16.15%15.73%18.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.695.507.2520.00%17.57%18.18%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.01%1.19cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -15.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.17%83.85%84.27%86.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.54%87.72%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +15.92%E +2.20%K +2.55%G +0.405%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 01:04
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +7.92%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.109%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Fanatics6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +5.53%E +0.837%K +0.987%G +0.055%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:00
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.93%E +0.604%K +0.714%G +0.028%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +3.13%E +0.485%K +0.574%G +0.018%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:00
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:00
DraftKings6.18I 16.18%NM 15.57%EV -1.19%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:44
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:05
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:05
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Pinnacle5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -4.71%E -0.790%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 00:45
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.07%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:05
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:20
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:04
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 06:40
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:44
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:14
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:14
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:04
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Novig5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60%1.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-21 01:05