A Escola das Odds

Moise Kouame v Jiri Lehecka

Início: 2026-03-21 01:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Moise Kouame (Local)

Previsão 15.99%6.25odd justa
EV +15.92%
Vantagem +2.20%
Kelly +2.55%
Crescimento +0.405%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.17%16.15%15.73%18.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.695.507.2520.00%17.57%18.18%13.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)

Previsão 84.01%1.19odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -15.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.17%83.85%84.27%86.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.54%87.72%86.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +15.92%E +2.20%K +2.55%G +0.405%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -7.59%E -6.90%K -75.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 01:04
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +7.92%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.109%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Fanatics6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +5.53%E +0.837%K +0.987%G +0.055%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:00
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.93%E +0.604%K +0.714%G +0.028%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +3.13%E +0.485%K +0.574%G +0.018%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.07%E -4.48%K -38.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:00
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +2.33%E +0.364%K +0.431%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:00
DraftKings6.18I 16.18%NM 15.57%EV -1.19%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 00:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:44
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:05
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 23:05
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.07%E -0.678%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.75%E -6.08%K -61.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Pinnacle5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -4.71%E -0.790%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 00:45
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.07%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:05
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -10.30%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 23:50
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:20
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:04
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 06:40
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.91%E -5.27%K -49.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:44
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:05
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -15.26%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:04
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:14
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.06%E -3.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:14
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.55%E -2.20%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.39%E -2.95%K -22.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:04
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.06%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.23%E -3.71%K -30.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 16:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-21 01:05
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Novig5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60%1.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-21 01:05