A Escola das Odds

Matteo Berrettini v Valentin Vacherot

Início: 2026-03-22 23:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (Local)

Previsão 56.40%1.77odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%56.32%56.33%57.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.39%59.52%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)

Previsão 43.60%2.29odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.68%43.67%45.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.202.2248.78%45.93%45.45%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 23:15
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:14
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:14
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:12
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:14
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 23:14
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 23:15
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-03-22 23:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-03-22 23:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-22 23:45