La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Valentin Vacherot
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 56.40%1.77quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.67%56.32%56.33%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.39%59.52%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.60%2.29quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.68%43.67%45.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.202.2248.78%45.93%45.45%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:44 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |