مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Berrettini v Valentin Vacherot

البداية: 2026-03-22 23:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.40%1.77السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -2.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.67%56.32%56.33%57.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.39%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valentin Vacherot (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.60%2.29السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -2.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.41%43.68%43.67%45.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.202.2248.78%45.93%45.45%45.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 23:15
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:14
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:14
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:12
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:14
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 23:14
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 23:15
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-22 23:45
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-03-22 23:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-03-22 23:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-22 23:45