La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Valentin Vacherot
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 56.40%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.32%56.33%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.39%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)
Predicción 43.60%2.29momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%43.68%43.67%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.2248.78%45.93%45.45%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:44 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |