Language:English
Martin Damm Jr. v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Prediction 11.55%8.66fair odd
EV +9.69%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.95%11.54%11.39%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 88.45%1.13fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -27.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.46%88.61%90.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.1096.15%93.38%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 11.55%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 88.45%. For Martin Damm Jr. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.66. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.40%EV +7.38%E +0.794%K +0.889%G +0.066% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.60%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +3.69%E +0.410%K +0.462%G +0.017% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.03%E +0.118%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -3.01%E -0.358%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.08%EV -3.59%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.92%EV -8.01%E -7.70%K -200.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.32%E -0.649%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -10.52%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.70%E -2.46%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 01:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 01:15 |
| Novig◎ | 9.71I 10.30%NM 10.09% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 2.6% | 2026-03-22 01:05 |