Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 01:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Prévision 11.55%8.66cote équitable
EV +9.69%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.95%11.54%11.39%13.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 88.45%1.13cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -27.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%88.46%88.61%90.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.071.1096.15%93.38%93.46%90.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Damm Jr. (Local) : 11.55% ; Alexander Zverev (Visiteur) : 88.45%. Pour Martin Damm Jr. (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.66. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 01:14
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:14
BetOnline.ag🎯9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:14
DraftKings🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.40%EV +7.38%E +0.794%K +0.889%G +0.066%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.60%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 01:14
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +3.69%E +0.410%K +0.462%G +0.017%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.03%E +0.118%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 01:14
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 01:04
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -3.01%E -0.358%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Fliff🎯8.35I 11.98%NM 11.08%EV -3.59%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.92%EV -8.01%E -7.70%K -200.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:14
NordicBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:14
ReBet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.32%E -0.649%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:03
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:05
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
PlayUp🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:05
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -10.52%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 01:04
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.70%E -2.46%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 01:05
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 01:14
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 01:14
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:14
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:14
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 01:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:15
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:05
ProphetX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-22 01:15
Novig9.71I 10.30%NM 10.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.91%2.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%2.6%2026-03-22 01:05