A Escola das Odds

Martin Damm Jr. v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-03-22 01:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Previsão 11.55%8.66odd justa
EV +9.69%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.95%11.54%11.39%13.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 88.45%1.13odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -27.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%88.46%88.61%90.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.071.1096.15%93.38%93.46%90.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 01:14
Betway9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +9.69%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 01:05
LowVig.ag9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:14
BetOnline.ag9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +8.07%E +0.863%K +0.966%G +0.078%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:14
DraftKings9.30I 10.75%NM 10.40%EV +7.38%E +0.794%K +0.889%G +0.066%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.60%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 01:14
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.92%E +0.435%K +0.490%G +0.019%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +3.69%E +0.410%K +0.462%G +0.017%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:14
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.03%E +0.118%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:04
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:14
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 01:14
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.86%E -0.218%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 01:04
FanDuel8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -3.01%E -0.358%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 01:04
Fliff8.35I 11.98%NM 11.08%EV -3.59%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.92%EV -8.01%E -7.70%K -200.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 01:14
Unibet (FR)8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 01:04
Parions Sport (FR)8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -4.17%E -0.502%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 01:04
Betsson8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:14
NordicBet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.74%E -0.575%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 01:14
ReBet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.32%E -0.649%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:04
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:05
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:03
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:05
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
PlayUp8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:05
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.63%E -0.954%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.12%E -6.78%K -142.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
theScore Bet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -10.52%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 01:04
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.70%E -2.46%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 01:05
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 01:14
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 01:14
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 01:04
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.40%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:14
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 01:14
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:14
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.35%E -5.00%K -76.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.18%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -103.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 01:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:15
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-22 01:05
ProphetX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-22 01:15
Novig9.71I 10.30%NM 10.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.91%2.0%2026-03-22 01:04
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%2.6%2026-03-22 01:05