Language:English
Kamil Majchrzak v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV +7.32%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%26.82%26.65%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.504.0030.77%28.45%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 73.17%1.37fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -8.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.18%73.35%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.99%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 26.83%; Learner Tien (Visit): 73.17%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.29%E +0.855%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.611%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.342%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.731%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.81%E -6.19%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 12:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -4.22%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 13:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 03:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.34% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.66% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |