La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV +7.32%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.179%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%26.82%26.65%29.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.504.0030.77%28.45%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 73.17%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -8.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.96%73.18%73.35%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.99%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.29%E +0.855%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.611%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.342%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.731%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| GTbets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.81%E -6.19%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 12:23 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| ReBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -4.22%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Fliff | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 12:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 11:59 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 13:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 03:14 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Novig | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.34% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.66% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| ProphetX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |