La scuola delle quote

Kamil Majchrzak v Learner Tien

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Casa)

Previsione 26.83%3.73quota equa
EV +7.32%
Vantaggio +1.83%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescita +0.179%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%26.82%26.65%29.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.523.504.0030.77%28.45%28.57%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.17%1.37quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -8.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%73.18%73.35%76.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.99%76.92%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:49
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.29%E +0.855%K +1.16%G +0.038%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.611%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:24
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.342%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:49
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.731%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:25
GTbets3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.81%E -6.19%K -30.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:29
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.61%E -0.719%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:30
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 12:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 12:23
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:54
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:30
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:25
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:05
DraftKings3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -4.22%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 01:05
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 12:25
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 12:30
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 18:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 12:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 12:30
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:54
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 10:35
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:30
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:49
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:49
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.41%E -2.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:50
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:50
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 11:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 11:59
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 13:53
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:50
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:25
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.34%E -4.95%K -22.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 03:14
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-21 14:40
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 25.34%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.66%1.5%2026-03-21 14:33
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-03-21 14:55