A Escola das Odds

Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-03-27 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 59.15%1.69odd justa
EV +41.97%
Vantagem +17.49%
Kelly +29.98%
Crescimento +12.58%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.78%56.35%59.40%62.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.801.622.4066.67%55.57%61.73%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 40.85%2.45odd justa
EV +4.16%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescimento +0.112%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.65%43.65%40.60%61.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.522.112.252.5565.79%47.41%44.44%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -36.28%E -23.25%K -64.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:09
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -37.91%E -24.94%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:13
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +41.37%E +17.31%K +29.77%G +12.32%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 19:15
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +40.19%E +16.96%K +29.34%G +11.79%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:05
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 19:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 19:11
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -34.24%E -21.26%K -56.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:04
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +37.82%E +16.23%K +28.44%G +10.76%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:13
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:09
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:12
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -35.05%E -22.05%K -59.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 19:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -33.42%E -20.50%K -53.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:13
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -35.87%E -22.85%K -62.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 19:04
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.22%E -0.728%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:20
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 19:20
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 19:25
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 19:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.740%E -0.305%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 19:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.95%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 19:24
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 19:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.15%E -0.475%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:25
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +4.16%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.112%4.2%2026-03-27 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 19:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.09%E -6.64%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-27 19:25
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-03-27 19:25
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%6.5%2026-03-27 19:25