La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 59.15%1.69momio equitativo
EV +41.97%
Ventaja +17.49%
Kelly +29.98%
Crecimiento +12.58%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%56.35%59.40%62.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.801.622.4066.67%55.57%61.73%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 40.85%2.45momio equitativo
EV +4.16%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%43.65%40.60%61.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.522.112.252.5565.79%47.41%44.44%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -36.28%E -23.25%K -64.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -37.91%E -24.94%K -72.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +41.37%E +17.31%K +29.77%G +12.32% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +40.19%E +16.96%K +29.34%G +11.79% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 19:11 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -34.24%E -21.26%K -56.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +37.82%E +16.23%K +28.44%G +10.76% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -35.05%E -22.05%K -59.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -33.42%E -20.50%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -35.87%E -22.85%K -62.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.22%E -0.728%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.740%E -0.305%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.95%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.15%E -0.475%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +4.16%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.112% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.09%E -6.64%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |