Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 59.15%1.69cote équitable
EV +41.97%
Avantage +17.49%
Kelly +29.98%
Croissance +12.58%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.78%56.35%59.40%62.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.801.622.4066.67%55.57%61.73%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.85%2.45cote équitable
EV +4.16%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.112%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%43.65%40.60%61.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.522.112.252.5565.79%47.41%44.44%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 59.15% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 40.85%. Pour Jiri Lehecka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.69. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.40, soit une espérance positive de +41.97%.
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -36.28%E -23.25%K -64.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -37.91%E -24.94%K -72.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +41.37%E +17.31%K +29.77%G +12.32% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +40.19%E +16.96%K +29.34%G +11.79% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 19:11 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -34.24%E -21.26%K -56.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +37.82%E +16.23%K +28.44%G +10.76% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -35.05%E -22.05%K -59.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -33.42%E -20.50%K -53.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 19:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -35.87%E -22.85%K -62.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.22%E -0.728%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.740%E -0.305%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.95%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.15%E -0.475%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +4.16%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.112% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.09%E -6.64%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |