مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils

البداية: 2026-03-27 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.15%1.69السعر العادل
EV +41.97%
الأفضلية +17.49%
Kelly +29.98%
النمو +12.58%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.78%56.35%59.40%62.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.801.622.4066.67%55.57%61.73%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.85%2.45السعر العادل
EV +4.16%
الأفضلية +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.65%43.65%40.60%61.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.522.112.252.5565.79%47.41%44.44%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -36.28%E -23.25%K -64.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:09
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +41.97%E +17.49%K +29.98%G +12.58%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -37.91%E -24.94%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:13
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +41.37%E +17.31%K +29.77%G +12.32%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 19:15
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +40.19%E +16.96%K +29.34%G +11.79%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:05
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 19:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 19:11
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +39.01%E +16.60%K +28.89%G +11.27%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -34.24%E -21.26%K -56.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:04
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +37.82%E +16.23%K +28.44%G +10.76%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -34.64%E -21.65%K -57.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:13
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -32.60%E -19.76%K -50.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:09
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -33.83%E -20.88%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:12
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +36.05%E +15.67%K +27.73%G +10.00%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -35.05%E -22.05%K -59.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 19:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -33.42%E -20.50%K -53.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:13
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +33.09%E +14.71%K +26.47%G +8.76%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -35.87%E -22.85%K -62.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 19:04
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.22%E -0.728%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.40%E -1.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:20
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.17%E -2.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 19:20
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 19:25
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 19:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.740%E -0.305%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.36%E -3.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 19:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.95%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 19:24
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 19:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.15%E -0.475%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:25
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +4.16%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.112%4.2%2026-03-27 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.91%E -5.78%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.05%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 19:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.50%E -6.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.09%E -6.64%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.09%E -3.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.27%E -7.51%K -22.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.97%E -0.819%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-27 19:25
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-27 19:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-03-27 19:25
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%6.5%2026-03-27 19:25