Language:English
Gabriel Diallo v Wu Yibing
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gabriel Diallo (Local)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.01%44.62%48.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wu Yibing (Visit)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.93%54.99%55.38%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.711.8762.11%58.06%58.48%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gabriel Diallo (Local): 44.77%; Wu Yibing (Visit): 55.23%. For Wu Yibing (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +3.27%E +1.75%K +3.76%G +0.123% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.07%E +0.582%K +1.28%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 21:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -10.90%E -5.48%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 21:37 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 21:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 21:40 |