La escuela de los momios

Gabriel Diallo v Wu Yibing

Inicio: 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%45.01%44.62%48.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wu Yibing (Visitante)

Predicción 55.23%1.81momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +0.123%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.93%54.99%55.38%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.721.711.8762.11%58.06%58.48%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +3.27%E +1.75%K +3.76%G +0.123%3.0%2026-03-20 21:35
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.07%E +0.582%K +1.28%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-20 20:14
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 21:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:39
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:35
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:20
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:04
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:44
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:50
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -10.90%E -5.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:37
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 21:38
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 21:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:39
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 21:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 21:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-20 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-03-20 21:40
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-03-20 21:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-20 21:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-20 21:40