L’École des cotes

Gabriel Diallo v Wu Yibing

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Prévision 44.77%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%45.01%44.62%48.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wu Yibing (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.23%1.81cote équitable
EV +3.27%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.93%54.99%55.38%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.711.8762.11%58.06%58.48%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +3.27%E +1.75%K +3.76%G +0.123%3.0%2026-03-20 21:35
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.07%E +0.582%K +1.28%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-20 20:14
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 21:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.513%E +0.282%K +0.626%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:39
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:35
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:20
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:04
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.591%E -0.328%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:44
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:50
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -10.90%E -5.48%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -1.14%E -0.639%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:37
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 21:38
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 21:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:39
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 21:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 21:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-20 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-20 21:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-03-20 21:40
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-03-20 21:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-20 21:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-20 21:40