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Darwin Blanch v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Darwin Blanch (Local)
Prediction 38.06%2.63fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%38.13%37.91%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.7042.02%39.99%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 61.94%1.61fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%61.87%62.09%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.521.521.5670.42%65.98%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darwin Blanch (Local): 38.06%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 61.94%. For Darwin Blanch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.75%E +1.02%K +1.62%G +0.045% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.48%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.24%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.52%E -3.10%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.32%E -5.62%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |