A Escola das Odds

Darwin Blanch v Jan-Lennard Struff

Início: 2026-03-19 17:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Darwin Blanch (Local)

Previsão 38.06%2.63odd justa
EV +2.75%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.94%38.13%37.91%39.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.502.502.7042.02%39.99%40.00%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Previsão 61.94%1.61odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -6.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.76%61.87%62.09%65.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.521.521.5670.42%65.98%65.79%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.75%E +1.02%K +1.62%G +0.045%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:44
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 16:44
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:45
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.48%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:45
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.24%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:40
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:43
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.52%E -3.10%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 15:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 16:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.32%E -5.62%K -17.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-03-19 16:45